Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES80¢ (80%)
NO20¢ (20%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $6.9K • Updated 25m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 20¢ · pays 5.0×
Price gap
Polymarket20¢
→OU's fair27¢
+7¢ underpriced · pays 5.0×
Confidence
Low
Oklahoma's 5th district was significantly redrawn to be a safe Republican seat and the incumbent Republican won the 2022 and 2024 cycles by double-digit margins.
Off market consensus
Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.