Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES31¢ (31%)
NO69¢ (69%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $24.9K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (26d)
Polymarket · Science and Technology
OU's Pick
NO at 70¢ · pays 1.4×
Price gap
Polymarket70¢
→OU's fair70¢
Confidence
Low
Search results indicate a consensus that AI models are expected to exceed the fifty percent accuracy threshold on this benchmark by the end of 2025.
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