Will the Democratic Party win the OR-04 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES91¢ (91%)
NO9¢ (9%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $9.1K • Updated 17m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 9¢ · pays 11×
Price gap
Polymarket9¢
→OU's fair9¢
Confidence
Low
Oregon's 4th district is a historically Democratic seat that has remained in party control for decades including the most recent election cycles.
Off market consensus
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