Will the Republican Party win the PA-11 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES86¢ (86%)
NO14¢ (14%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $2.6K • Updated 39m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 86¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Polymarket86¢
→OU's fair88¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker represents a heavily Republican-leaning district that was further strengthened for the GOP during the recent redistricting process.
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