Will the Democratic Party win the PA-14 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES7¢ (7%)
NO93¢ (93%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.2K • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 7¢ · pays 15×
Price gap
Polymarket7¢
→OU's fair10¢
+3¢ underpriced · pays 15×
Confidence
Moderate
Pennsylvania's 14th district is a heavily Republican-leaning seat currently held by Guy Reschenthaler and has not been competitive for Democrats in recent cycles.
Off market consensus
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