PA-16 House Election Winner
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
81¢
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Polymarket • Volume: $20.4K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Republican Party
at 81¢
Price gap
Polymarket81¢
→OU's fair82¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Mike Kelly has historically won this Republican-leaning district by double digits and remains the favored candidate for the 2026 midterm cycle.
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