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Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES93¢ (93%)
NO7¢ (7%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $5.4K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
YES at 93¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket93¢
OU's fair95¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate

The national debt reached $39 trillion in early 2026 and is projected to hit $40 trillion by November based on current spending rates and fiscal year 2026 deficit projections.

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