Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES5¢ (5%)
NO95¢ (95%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $171.3K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (30d)
Polymarket · Financials
OU's Pick
YES at 5¢ · pays 22×
Price gap
Polymarket5¢
→OU's fair25¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 22×
Confidence
Moderate
White House officials have reportedly begun the search for a replacement following calls for Hegseth's resignation after a controversial military strike in the Caribbean Sea.
Wide edge+20¢
Off market consensus
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