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Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES12¢ (12%)
NO88¢ (88%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $149.8K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
NO at 88¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket88¢
OU's fair88¢
Confidence
Moderate

Search context indicates Poilievre was recently retained as leader despite a past defeat and maintains a strong grip on the party through major keynote events.

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