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Will the Democratic Party win the TX-08 House seat?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES8¢ (8%)
NO92¢ (92%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $3.5K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 93¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket93¢
OU's fair95¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate

Texas' 8th Congressional District is a safe Republican seat that has not been won by a Democrat in decades and was not listed as a competitive target in recent FEC filings.

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