Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES17¢ (17%)
NO83¢ (83%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $67K • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-10-04
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 17¢ · pays 6.1×
Price gap
Polymarket17¢
→OU's fair25¢
+8¢ underpriced · pays 6.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Brazilian presidential elections historically require a second round because the leading candidates rarely secure more than half of the valid votes in the first stage.
Off market consensus
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