Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES40¢ (40%)
NO60¢ (60%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1M • Updated 27m agoCloses: 2028-11-07
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 40¢ · pays 2.5×
Price gap
Polymarket40¢
→OU's fair48¢
+8¢ underpriced · pays 2.5×
Confidence
Low
Historical data shows that the party in power often faces a disadvantage in subsequent elections but no specific 2028 polling data exists yet.
Off market consensus
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