Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES87¢ (87%)
NO13¢ (13%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $4.5K • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2026-05-31 (6d)
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 13¢ · pays 7.7×
Price gap
Polymarket13¢
→OU's fair30¢
+17¢ underpriced · pays 7.7×
Confidence
Moderate
CNN reports North Korea launched a barrage of a dozen rockets on March 15 2026 indicating a high frequency of testing that makes staying under two launches unlikely.
Wide edge+17¢
Closes in6d 2h
Off market consensus
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