Will the Democratic Party win the CA-05 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES17¢ (17%)
NO83¢ (83%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.5K • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 17¢ · pays 5.9×
Price gap
Polymarket17¢
→OU's fair88¢
+71¢ underpriced · pays 5.9×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Republican Tom McClintock represents a district that has not seen a serious challenge to GOP control since his first election in 2008.
Wide edge+71¢
Off market consensus
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