9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES7¢ (7%)
NO93¢ (93%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $192.3K • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
NO at 93¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket93¢
→OU's fair98¢
+5¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Magnitude 9.0 earthquakes are extremely rare events that occur on average only once per decade globally and the USGS reports no such activity for the current year.
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