Will the Democratic Party win the KS-03 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES88¢ (88%)
NO12¢ (12%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $3.4K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 13¢ · pays 8.0×
Price gap
Polymarket13¢
→OU's fair32¢
+19¢ underpriced · pays 8.0×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Democrat Sharice Davids has successfully defended this seat in multiple cycles and has already filed for reelection in 2026.
Wide edge+19¢
Off market consensus
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