Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES91¢ (91%)
NO9¢ (9%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $26.6K • Updated 51m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 9¢ · pays 11×
Price gap
Polymarket9¢
→OU's fair10¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 11×
Confidence
Moderate
The Cook Political Report and voter registration data both characterize California's 39th district as a safe Democratic seat for the 2026 midterm elections.
Off market consensus
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