Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES9¢ (9%)
NO91¢ (91%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $20.1K • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
YES at 9¢ · pays 11×
Price gap
Polymarket9¢
→OU's fair15¢
+6¢ underpriced · pays 11×
Confidence
Moderate
Search context indicates military actions against Iran and Venezuela in 2026 but provides no evidence for the high volume of strikes required to reach eleven or thirteen nations.
Off market consensus
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