Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES53¢ (53%)
NO47¢ (47%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $9.4M • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-06-30
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 48¢ · pays 2.1×
Price gap
Polymarket48¢
→OU's fair65¢
+17¢ underpriced · pays 2.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Recent reports indicate that commercial transits through the Strait of Hormuz have reached their lowest levels since the start of the current regional conflict.
Wide edge+17¢
High volume$406k
Off market consensus
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