Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES99¢ (99%)
NO1¢ (1%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $372.6K • Updated 51m agoCloses: 2026-06-02 (8d)
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 1¢ · pays 133×
Price gap
Polymarket1¢
→OU's fair15¢
+14¢ underpriced · pays 133×
Confidence
Moderate
Rob Sand is the incumbent State Auditor and the most prominent Democrat in Iowa while Julie Stauch is a first-time candidate with significantly less name recognition.
Wide edge+14¢
Off market consensus
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