Will the Republican Party win the TX-30 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES7¢ (7%)
NO93¢ (93%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $3.4K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 94¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket94¢
→OU's fair95¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Texas District 30 is a heavily Democratic seat where Democrats historically hold at least three-quarters of the vote share according to search context reports.
Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.