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Will the Democratic Party win the WI-05 House seat?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES14¢ (14%)
NO86¢ (86%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $3.4K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 86¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Polymarket86¢
OU's fair92¢
+6¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate

Wisconsin's 5th district is a historically safe Republican seat that has not elected a Democrat in decades and remains a solid GOP stronghold in recent election cycles.

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