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Will the Democratic Party win the NY-08 House seat?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES92¢ (92%)
NO8¢ (8%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $11.5K • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 92¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket92¢
OU's fair95¢
+3¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate

Hakeem Jeffries is the Democratic incumbent for NY-08 and serves as the House Minority Leader with significant fundraising advantages in a heavily Democratic district.

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