Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES65¢ (65%)
NO35¢ (35%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $63.8K • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2029-01-20
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 36¢ · pays 2.8×
Price gap
Polymarket36¢
→OU's fair36¢
Confidence
Low
A Republican majority in the House of Representatives makes a successful impeachment vote highly unlikely during the current presidential term.
Off market consensus
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