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Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES36¢ (36%)
NO64¢ (64%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $4.2K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 65¢ · pays 1.6×
Price gap
Polymarket65¢
OU's fair65¢
Confidence
Moderate

Independent Dan Osborn has significant fundraising parity with incumbent Pete Ricketts and previously demonstrated strong performance in a similar statewide race.

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