Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES27¢ (27%)
NO73¢ (73%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $3.6K • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-07-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 74¢ · pays 1.4×
Price gap
Polymarket74¢
→OU's fair75¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 1.4×
Confidence
Moderate
Ongoing military operations and recent evacuation orders in southern Lebanon suggest a continued presence through the July deadline despite international pressure.
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