Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES87¢ (87%)
NO13¢ (13%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $345.7K • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 14¢ · pays 7.4×
Price gap
Polymarket14¢
→OU's fair34¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 7.4×
Confidence
Moderate
Search context indicates a massive collapse in vessel traffic to just five to nineteen ships per day compared to the historical norm of one hundred forty.
Wide edge+20¢
High volume$36k
Off market consensus
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