Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES74¢ (74%)
NO26¢ (26%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $2.8K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 27¢ · pays 3.8×
Price gap
Polymarket27¢
→OU's fair27¢
Confidence
Low
The district is currently held by Republican Andrew Garbarino and has a historical lean toward the Republican party in recent election cycles.
Off market consensus
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