Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES20¢ (20%)
NO80¢ (80%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $32M • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 81¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Polymarket81¢
→OU's fair81¢
Confidence
Low
A full scale military offensive to establish control over Iranian territory would require massive mobilization and congressional approval which are not currently present.
High volume$105k
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