Will the Republican Party win the AR-03 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES92¢ (92%)
NO8¢ (8%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $7K • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 92¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket92¢
→OU's fair95¢
+3¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District is a safe Republican seat that has been held by the GOP for decades and showed no signs of shifting in recent election cycles.
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