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Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES60¢ (60%)
NO40¢ (40%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.2K • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-11-07
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 40¢ · pays 2.5×
Price gap
Polymarket40¢
OU's fair44¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 2.5×
Confidence
Low

The 2026 New Zealand general election is scheduled for November 7 but current polling and political trends are not provided in the available search context.

Off market consensus
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