Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES34¢ (34%)
NO66¢ (66%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $6.9K • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 66¢ · pays 1.5×
Price gap
Polymarket66¢
→OU's fair75¢
+9¢ underpriced · pays 1.5×
Confidence
Moderate
ISW reports from March 2026 show limited Russian territorial gains in Zaporizhzhia Oblast which suggests that capturing specific fortified intersections remains a slow objective.
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