Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES1¢ (1%)
NO99¢ (99%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $94.3K • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-06-30
Polymarket · Financials
OU's Pick
YES at 1¢ · pays 69×
Price gap
Polymarket1¢
→OU's fair15¢
+14¢ underpriced · pays 69×
Confidence
Moderate
Ongoing military strikes and the lack of a diplomatic agreement following the May deadline make official congressional travel to Iran extremely unlikely and dangerous.
Wide edge+14¢
Off market consensus
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