Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES94¢ (94%)
NO6¢ (6%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $7K • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 94¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket94¢
→OU's fair98¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
California's 34th District is a deep blue urban seat in Los Angeles that has consistently elected Democrats by overwhelming margins for decades.
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