Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on May 25?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES97¢ (97%)
NO3¢ (3%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $5.6K • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2026-05-25
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
NO at 3¢ · pays 36×
Price gap
Polymarket3¢
→OU's fair23¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 36×
Confidence
Moderate
The Open-Meteo forecast predicts a high of 18 degrees Celsius for May 25 which is very close to the target threshold.
Wide edge+20¢
Closes in2h
Off market consensus
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