Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES18¢ (18%)
NO82¢ (82%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $800K • Updated 28m agoCloses: 2026-05-31 (6d)
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 82¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Polymarket82¢
→OU's fair95¢
+13¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Iran is currently asserting sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz and increasing tensions with the United States rather than seeking a public agreement for unrestricted transit.
Wide edge+13¢
High volume$66k
Closes in6d 2h
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