Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES52¢ (52%)
NO48¢ (48%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.2M • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 52¢ · pays 1.9×
Price gap
Polymarket52¢
→OU's fair55¢
+3¢ underpriced · pays 1.9×
Confidence
Low
The 2026 Senate map features several competitive seats currently held by Democrats in states that trended toward Republicans in recent election cycles.
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