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Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES20¢ (20%)
NO80¢ (80%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $26.5K • Updated 49m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 20¢ · pays 5.0×
Price gap
Polymarket20¢
OU's fair40¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 5.0×
Confidence
Moderate

Louisiana's 6th district was redrawn as a majority-black district for the 2026 cycle and Cleo Fields currently maintains a significant fundraising advantage over potential rivals.

Wide edge+20¢
Off market consensus
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