Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES45¢ (45%)
NO55¢ (55%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $6.9K • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 55¢ · pays 1.8×
Price gap
Polymarket55¢
→OU's fair86¢
+31¢ underpriced · pays 1.8×
Confidence
Moderate
North Carolina's 5th district was redrawn in 2025 to be a safe Republican seat and historical voting patterns in this region heavily favor the Republican candidate.
Wide edge+31¢
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