Will Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES3¢ (3%)
NO97¢ (97%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $20.2K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-05-31 (5d)
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 3¢ · pays 38×
Price gap
Polymarket3¢
→OU's fair23¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 38×
Confidence
Moderate
Polls indicate Iv!n Cepeda leads the left while Paloma Valencia and Abelardo de la Espriella are the primary contenders to face him in a potential runoff.
Wide edge+20¢
Closes in5d 17h
Off market consensus
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