Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES7¢ (7%)
NO93¢ (93%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $9.3M • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 93¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket93¢
→OU's fair95¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Reza Pahlavi remains a dissident in exile with no current control over Iranian state institutions or the military as required by the resolution criteria.
High volume$442k
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