Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES76¢ (76%)
NO24¢ (24%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $19.1K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 25¢ · pays 4.1×
Price gap
Polymarket25¢
→OU's fair82¢
+57¢ underpriced · pays 4.1×
Confidence
Low
Texas District 21 is a Republican stronghold and the incumbent Chip Roy won by double digits in previous cycles while the district remains rated as solid Republican.
Wide edge+57¢
Off market consensus
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