Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES47¢ (47%)
NO53¢ (53%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.8K • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-11-04
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 47¢ · pays 2.2×
Price gap
Polymarket47¢
→OU's fair66¢
+19¢ underpriced · pays 2.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Republican Rob Wittman represents a district that was drawn to favor his party according to Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball.
Wide edge+19¢
Off market consensus
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