Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES70¢ (70%)
NO30¢ (30%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.3M • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-07-31
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 31¢ · pays 3.3×
Price gap
Polymarket31¢
→OU's fair61¢
+30¢ underpriced · pays 3.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Current transit calls are reported at a fraction of the pre-war norm with significant naval threats still present in the region.
Wide edge+30¢
High volume$137k
Off market consensus
Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.