Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES19¢ (19%)
NO81¢ (81%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $3K • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Sports
OU's Pick
YES at 19¢ · pays 5.3×
Price gap
Polymarket19¢
→OU's fair47¢
+28¢ underpriced · pays 5.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Ilia Topuria is the current champion and has publicly stated his intention to defend the lightweight title throughout 2026 despite a temporary hiatus for personal matters.
Wide edge+28¢
Off market consensus
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