Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES13¢ (13%)
NO87¢ (87%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $18.8M • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 88¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket88¢
→OU's fair92¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Low
The Iranian regime has maintained power for decades without a leadership transition and lacks immediate indicators of imminent collapse before the 2027 deadline.
High volume$120k
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