US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES19¢ (19%)
NO81¢ (81%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $2.2M • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-05-31 (6d)
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 81¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Polymarket81¢
→OU's fair95¢
+14¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Recent reports from May 2025 indicate ongoing IAEA monitoring and negotiations but no finalized agreement has been announced as of late May 2026.
Wide edge+14¢
High volume$252k
Closes in6d 3h
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