Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES90¢ (90%)
NO10¢ (10%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $8.6K • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 10¢ · pays 9.5×
Price gap
Polymarket10¢
→OU's fair12¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 9.5×
Confidence
Moderate
Texas's 5th Congressional District is a solidly Republican seat held by Lance Gooden and the current political map maintains its strong partisan lean for the 2026 cycle.
Off market consensus
Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.