Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES10¢ (10%)
NO90¢ (90%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.3K • Updated 6m agoCloses: 2026-07-15
Polymarket · Financials
OU's Pick
YES at 10¢ · pays 10×
Price gap
Polymarket10¢
→OU's fair15¢
+5¢ underpriced · pays 10×
Confidence
Moderate
The Bank of Canada recently lowered its policy rate to 2.5 percent and maintained a neutral rate range that suggests a pause or further cuts rather than an immediate hike.
Off market consensus
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