Will the Democratic Party win the MD-06 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES90¢ (90%)
NO10¢ (10%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $4.3K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 10¢ · pays 9.5×
Price gap
Polymarket10¢
→OU's fair31¢
+21¢ underpriced · pays 9.5×
Confidence
Moderate
Maryland's 6th District is a Democratic-leaning seat where the party maintains a fundraising advantage and historical control despite being a competitive midterm target.
Wide edge+21¢
Off market consensus
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